There are betting strategies that involve simply betting against the NBA consensus, otherwise known as 'fading the public.' Betting Against the Public It's a contrarian view of betting that says the public will be wrong more often than they are right, because many are casual bettors who just like to bet favorites or bet their favorite teams.
After a truly wild NBA summer, the start of the 2019-20 regular season can't come soon enough. A series of blockbuster trades and surprising free agency decisions has completely reshaped the NBA landscape, and instead of looking ahead to a predictable Finals matchup, the league appears to be wide open.
- Handicapping Tips: OVER/UNDER Strategy As a sports bettor, you need to do some homework. Don't worry, it's not as intense as anything you had to do in high school – you're simply handicapping your totals bets enough to make smart picks.
- The NBA remains one of the most popular leagues for anyone who loves to bet on sports. However, records have shown that much of the action the NBA generates with the sportsbooks remains on the betting line or spread for the games. If you are not including wagers on the 'over/under' which is also.
- Total: Known as the over/under, common wisdom says it is how many points oddsmakers feel will be scored in an NBA game by both teams combined. If you wagered under 197.5, you want the combined.
Which NBA teams are primed to succeed, and which will fail to live up to expectations? FTW staff members pored over the latest season win totals from Vegas to pick eight over/under lock ahead of the upcoming season.
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All win totals via the Westgate SuperBook.
I kind of love the makeup of the Westbrook-less Thunder with Chris Paul, Steven Adams, Danilo Gallinari and potential future star Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. But what I don't love is the fact that this decimated OKC team plays in the West that got a lot more crowded this offseason. There's no way they win 31 games even with that lineup. – Charles Curtis
I know what you're thinking – the Celtics won 49 games last season and they no longer have Kyrie Irving or Al Horford from that team. Well, that is a good thing for the 2019-20 Boston Celtics because the circus of 'wil Kyrie stay?' Is now over, which is going to free everybody up. Kemba Walker, who really wants to be in Boston, is going to fit in so well with Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Gordon Hayward, and Co. Brad Stevens will be back to his genius ways and playing in the Eastern Conference, which has a bunch of terrible teams (especially the Knicks) will make it easy for the Celtics to win over 49.5 games. – Andy Nesbitt
The Phoenix Suns had the worst record in the West last season with 19 wins, and they've done little to make me think a 10.5-game improvement is reasonable. Phoenix banked on being able to draft Ja Morant, and when that failed, they made a desperate move to sign Ricky Rubio. There's fun talent in Phoenix between Devin Booker, Deandre Ayton and Kelly Oubre Jr., but the Suns are essentially the same awful team they were last year. – Andrew Joseph
After a truly wild NBA summer, the start of the 2019-20 regular season can't come soon enough. A series of blockbuster trades and surprising free agency decisions has completely reshaped the NBA landscape, and instead of looking ahead to a predictable Finals matchup, the league appears to be wide open.
- Handicapping Tips: OVER/UNDER Strategy As a sports bettor, you need to do some homework. Don't worry, it's not as intense as anything you had to do in high school – you're simply handicapping your totals bets enough to make smart picks.
- The NBA remains one of the most popular leagues for anyone who loves to bet on sports. However, records have shown that much of the action the NBA generates with the sportsbooks remains on the betting line or spread for the games. If you are not including wagers on the 'over/under' which is also.
- Total: Known as the over/under, common wisdom says it is how many points oddsmakers feel will be scored in an NBA game by both teams combined. If you wagered under 197.5, you want the combined.
Which NBA teams are primed to succeed, and which will fail to live up to expectations? FTW staff members pored over the latest season win totals from Vegas to pick eight over/under lock ahead of the upcoming season.
All win totals via the Westgate SuperBook.
I kind of love the makeup of the Westbrook-less Thunder with Chris Paul, Steven Adams, Danilo Gallinari and potential future star Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. But what I don't love is the fact that this decimated OKC team plays in the West that got a lot more crowded this offseason. There's no way they win 31 games even with that lineup. – Charles Curtis
I know what you're thinking – the Celtics won 49 games last season and they no longer have Kyrie Irving or Al Horford from that team. Well, that is a good thing for the 2019-20 Boston Celtics because the circus of 'wil Kyrie stay?' Is now over, which is going to free everybody up. Kemba Walker, who really wants to be in Boston, is going to fit in so well with Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Gordon Hayward, and Co. Brad Stevens will be back to his genius ways and playing in the Eastern Conference, which has a bunch of terrible teams (especially the Knicks) will make it easy for the Celtics to win over 49.5 games. – Andy Nesbitt
The Phoenix Suns had the worst record in the West last season with 19 wins, and they've done little to make me think a 10.5-game improvement is reasonable. Phoenix banked on being able to draft Ja Morant, and when that failed, they made a desperate move to sign Ricky Rubio. There's fun talent in Phoenix between Devin Booker, Deandre Ayton and Kelly Oubre Jr., but the Suns are essentially the same awful team they were last year. – Andrew Joseph
Nba Over Under Strategy 2019
Pretty much everything that could have gone wrong for the Wizards in 2018-19, did go wrong. John Wall played only 32 games, and wasn't very effective when he was on the court. The Dwight Howard signing was a disaster. Before the team offloaded Otto Porter Jr., it became apparent he was never going to develop into a max contract kind of player. And the Wizards still managed to squeak out 32 wins, thanks in large part to the brilliance of Bradley Beal, who probably should have landed on an All-NBA team. Well, Beal is still here and the team added some good backcourt depth to hold things over until Wall returns from injury. The front line is banking on some young, unproven players, but in the East, this roster is good enough to pull out 30 wins. – Steven Ruiz
You may think I'm cutting it close with the Hornets since the worst teams in the NBA last year won 17 to 19 games. But Charlotte is going to be AWFUL now that they lost Kemba Walker and Jeremy Lamb. I don't have a lot of faith in Terry Rozier breaking out to replace what Walker brought to the court night after night, so they're a lock to win all of 20 games … and maybe fewer than that. – Charles Curtis
I get that the Western Conference is even deeper, but the Blazers are an accomplished and experienced squad that earned a 3-seed in back-to-back seasons, with a killer backcourt duo and a bonafide superstar in Damian Lillard, who rarely misses time and seems intent on forcing himself into the conversation over the NBA's best players.
Portland will be without Jusuf Nurkic indefinitely as he recovers from a horrific leg injury, but the Blazers were aggressive in the offseason and added Hassan Whiteside to fill in. Whiteside may not be a perfect fit, but he's proven he can put up numbers over the course of the regular season grind. These Blazers are primed to be making a deep playoff run, not hovering around .500. – Nick Schwartz
Nba Over Under Trends
The argument that the Warriors will still be competitive in the Western Conference seems to boil down to claims that 'Stephen Curry and Draymond Green are too elite for the Warriors to fail,' but they've never faced such a challenge before. With Klay Thompson expected to be out for the majority of the season, Curry surely be able to carry the load offensively – but will the Warriors be able to stop anyone? Depth is also a major concern. Green, who is typically less productive in regular season than he can be in playoff series, missed 16 games last year, while Curry has missed a total of 44 games over the last two seasons. With no bench in sight, any missed time from the Warriors' stars could derail the season. – Nick Schwartz
Nba Over Under Strategy Chart
I get the hype for Zion Williamson, but we're putting too much on this team too soon. The Pelicans struggled to win 38 games consistently with Anthony Davis, one of the five best talents of the last decade, on the roster, and now we're expecting them to get there with a young roster? Zion will eventually rise to Davis's level — one would think — but it will take a year or two before he's able to carry a team on his back. And outside of J.J. Redick, I don't see where the Pelicans will get consistent outside shooting. In a league where court spacing is pivotal, that will be an issue.
Current Nba Over Unders
New Orleans will be a competitive team, but in the West, it'll be tough for this roster to carve out even 35 wins. – Steven Ruiz
